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The Issuance Curve

Central banks decide how much new money to create. Bitcoin's new supply is decided in advance by a rule no one can override. Drag through time and watch what that rule does.

"If the amount of new money is fixed by code instead of by a committee, what does the supply actually look like over time — and what does that cost?"

Walk the halvings

Every 210,000 blocks (~4 years), the reward for mining a block is cut in half. That single rule produces the entire curve below.

Era 4 · ~2025–2028
2009 (genesis)~2061
3.125
BTC per block (the subsidy)
19.69M
Coins mined by start of era
93.8%
Of the 21M cap
~0.8%
New supply this era, per year

Where these numbers come from

Every figure here is computed from Bitcoin's consensus rules — a 50 BTC starting subsidy, halved every 210,000 blocks, summing toward just under 21,000,000 coins. This is protocol math, not a forecast: block timing averages ~10 minutes so the years are approximate, but the quantities are exact. Current era subsidy is 3.125 BTC (the April 2024 halving). No price is shown or implied here — supply and price are different things.

Sources

Bitcoin whitepaper · Bitcoin developer docs · block height and current supply: mempool.space (verify live). Education, not financial advice.